Ethereum Breaks Out as 2025 Pattern Matches Bitcoin’s 2020 Rally

• Ethereum shows the same breakout structure that Bitcoin formed in 2020 before its rally past sixty thousand.
• The ETH chart shows a reaccumulation range followed by a breakout and retest, just as BTC did in 2020.
• The new run-up box on the ETH chart suggests a strong rally might extend through to the year 2026.

Ethereum’s weekly price chart now shows a striking similarity to Bitcoin’s V-shaped recovery from the 2018–2020 cycle, suggesting a similar outcome. A side-by-side comparison of the two charts indicates that Ethereum may follow Bitcoin’s earlier breakout pattern, which led to an explosive run-up. With Ethereum entering a breakout and retest phase, a critical question emerges: is ETH about to follow BTC’s past path toward new highs?

#Ethereum #Bitcoin Fractal Update

Breakout & Retest before Run-up ⤴️ pic.twitter.com/zX0PBOGm6c

— Titan of Crypto (@Washigorira) August 3, 2025

Ethereum Chart Tracks Bitcoin’s Historical Recovery Structure

On the left, Bitcoin’s chart from 2017 to 2021 highlights a textbook accumulation, rejection, breakout, and parabolic rally pattern. It begins with a post-2018 accumulation phase, followed by multiple rejections at a horizontal resistance trendline. The pandemic-induced crash was followed by a quick V-shaped recovery, after which Bitcoin broke above the resistance.

After the breakout, BTC retested the trendline before entering a steep run-up phase. Price accelerated from under $10,000 in 2020 to over $60,000 by 2021. This structure laid the groundwork for what many saw as the cleanest bull market progression in recent memory.

On the right, Ethereum’s chart appears to be tracing a nearly identical structure. The ETH/USD pair shows an accumulation phase in 2022 and 2023, followed by repeated rejections beneath a long-term horizontal resistance. A new breakout above this resistance is now underway, aligning Ethereum with Bitcoin’s former trajectory.

Current ETH Phase Suggests Reaccumulation Is Ending

The chart labels the recent Ethereum zone as a “Re-accumulation phase,” just as BTC had before its rally in 2020. The consolidation followed by breakout suggests the market has accepted higher price levels. The structure includes an earlier risk event similar to BTC’s pandemic crash—here marked as a “Risk of recession and trade war.”

This event may have functioned as the flush point, shaking out weaker hands before price climbed back above key resistance. Ethereum now trades just above its breakout point, echoing Bitcoin’s position in mid-2020. A retest appears to have confirmed the breakout.

Volume data from both assets during these phases shows increasing confidence as price nears the breakout zone. The Ethereum chart projects the “Run-up” box from the breakout area toward 2026, implying potential continuation if the pattern holds.

These mirrored patterns between BTC and ETH offer traders a model for projecting Ethereum’s price behavior. If ETH follows BTC’s structure, a major rally phase could begin by early 2026.

Technical Alignment Highlights Possibility of Parabolic ETH Move

The structure’s symmetry is the core of this comparative analysis. Ethereum appears to have formed the same sequence of market stages: accumulation, rejection, risk shock, breakout, and now retest. This suggests it may be early in a potential macro uptrend.

The final blue box labeled “Run-up” indicates a projection that Ethereum could repeat Bitcoin’s parabolic surge post-breakout. This would imply multi-year highs and significant expansion in market capitalization.

Both charts use a multi-year view to give traders and analysts long-term context. Ethereum now stands at the same relative market phase that Bitcoin held in mid-2020, which was followed by a 6x rally in under one year.

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