Bitcoin Price’s Rise To $80,000 Requires 8% Rise: Can BTC Make It?

Bitcoin has surged to a month-and-a-half high, reigniting bullish sentiment across the crypto market. The advance has been underpinned by meaningful support from long-term holders, whose conviction has provided structural stability throughout the recovery.

Whether this momentum can extend toward $80,000 now depends on sustaining the current technical and on-chain tailwinds.

Bitcoin’s Losses Are Declining

Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit and Loss metric has improved from -26.6% to -21.9%, marking a continued reduction in paper losses across the market. While the reading remains in negative territory, the directional improvement signals easing financial stress among holders.

Each incremental NUPL recovery brings the market closer to a neutral positioning that historically supports sustained $BTC price advances.

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Bitcoin NUPL. Source: Glassnode

This gradual improvement in holder positioning reflects a market that is healing rather than deteriorating. Reduced unrealized losses mean fewer participants are under pressure to sell at a discount. As NUPL continues trending toward zero, the demand environment becomes progressively more favorable for Bitcoin’s next leg higher.

Bitcoin’s Liveliness metric has been declining for the past month, a development that has played a crucial role in supporting the current recovery. Falling Liveliness indicates that long-term holders are accumulating rather than spending their Bitcoin. This behavior reduces available circulating supply and creates upward price pressure over time.

Liveliness is now at a four-month low, presenting one of the most compelling bullish signals in Bitcoin’s current on-chain condition. LTHs are widely regarded as the backbone of Bitcoin’s market structure, and their sustained accumulation behavior historically precedes significant price appreciation. This metric reinforces the case for continued upside in the sessions ahead.

Bitcoin Liveliness. Source: Glassnode

$BTC Price Rise To $80,000 Next

Bitcoin is trading at $73,915, holding around the $74,000 support level. A confirmed position above the 50-day exponential moving average represents one of the most significant technical recovery signals $BTC has generated in recent months. This EMA reclaim shifts the short-term trend structure decisively in favor of bulls.

Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

With $75,000 in sight, the next major target sits at $80,000, approximately 8% above current prices. Bitcoin already posted an 8% gain over the past week, demonstrating the momentum capacity required for that move. Sustained bullish conditions could realistically deliver an $80,000 test before March concludes.

Bitcoin MFI. Source: TradingView

The Money Flow Index, climbing above 73.5, has historically triggered reversals for Bitcoin. A push above 80.0 would confirm overbought conditions, potentially pulling $BTC back toward $70,552 and invalidating the $80,000 target entirely.

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