Over $3 Billion in Crypto Set to Unlock in March: What to Expect

March could be a crucial month for the crypto market, with over 32 projects set to unlock over $3 billion worth of tokens, according to Token Unlocks data. The most significant event comes from Arbitrum (ARB), which will release more than 1 billion tokens by March 16—an amount that represents 87% of its current circulating supply.

This ARB unlock, valued at approximately $2.2 billion, will see 673.5 million tokens allocated to the project’s core team and advisors, while 438.25 million ARB will be distributed to investors. Given the sheer volume of tokens entering circulation, ARB’s price could face considerable downward pressure unless met with strong buying demand.

Aptos (APT) is another major player in this round of token unlocks, with 24.84 million APT tokens—accounting for 6.76% of its circulating supply—set to be released by March 13. At current market rates, this unlock is valued at around $290 million.

Meanwhile, Sui (SUI) and Optimism (OP) are also preparing for significant unlocks. Sui will release 34.62 million tokens worth approximately $58.15 million on March 3, while Optimism is scheduled to unlock 24.16 million OP tokens, valued at over $90 million, by March 29. Both projects have consistently released new tokens since the beginning of the year, raising concerns about the long-term impact of supply dilution on their market performance.

Altcoin Market Cap Analysis

Meanwhile, the altcoin market cap chart below shows that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests further downside risk. RSI is deep in bearish territory at 26.89, suggesting that, while a relief bounce is possible, the broader trend remains weak. If selling pressure persists, altcoins could see further declines before finding a stable support level.

Also, the altcoin market cap is currently breaking below the lower Bollinger Band, signaling heightened volatility and a potential oversold condition. If the bulls take over, investors can expect a retest of $872 billion and $962 billion.

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