XRP ETF Approval Odds in 2025 Hit 90% on Polymarket

The next event that could greatly impact the crypto market is gaining momentum: a spot XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) in 2025 in the U.S.

On the Polymarket prediction site, speculators are now betting that the ETF has a 90% likelihood of approval by year-end.

This marks an increase of 19% over earlier odds, implying rising confidence among investors. Although Bitcoin- and Ethereum-based ETFs control a significant share of the market right now, the progress of XRP toward ETF status may provide decent competition.

With ETF approval, XRP would be available on traditional stock exchanges like any other security, without requiring holders to manage crypto wallets directly. This simplifies access for retail investors and enables the inflow of institutional capital that avoids direct exposure to crypto.

At one point, predictions hovered around 70%, but they have now surged to 90%, with trading volume surpassing $95,000. These numbers reflect real-time investor sentiment and often respond to news, legal developments, or insider optimism.

SEC delay adds tension

Why does this matter? If you’re a trader, it means increased volatility and potentially large moves in XRP’s price as the approval date approaches. For longer-term investors, the ETF could drive demand for XRP, leading to greater liquidity and price stability.

The combination of these two elements can help attract bigger players like hedge funds and asset managers to the digital asset. This shift in sentiment also points to the broader transformation of crypto into regulated financial products.

If approved, it would mark a turning point not just for Ripple, but for altcoins in general entering ETF territory. If market predictions are right, traders may want to start planning now.

The next few months could be critical for positioning ahead of what might be one of the year’s most important crypto events.

Meanwhile, it is worth noting that earlier this week, the U.S. SEC announced a 35-day delay in its decision to approve or disapprove the spot XRP filing proposed by top asset manager Franklin Templeton. Instead, it opened a comment period for this ETF and the proposed spot Solana ETF from the same firm.

While there’s still a delay in approving the spot XRP ETF in the U.S., the 3iQ XRP ETF was launched on the Toronto Stock Exchange on Wednesday.

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