Ethereum (ETH) Price Might Tank 15%: Here’s Why

By admin On Oct 8, 2024

Ethereum (ETH) has experienced a modest 1% price increase over the past 24 hours, reflecting the broader cryptocurrency market’s uptrend. This rebound comes after a week-long decline, largely attributed to political tensions in the Middle East.

Although the rally offers temporary relief for ETH holders, BeInCrypto’s analysis indicates it may be short-lived. Weak on-chain demand and a persistent bearish sentiment surrounding the altcoin suggest that the recovery could struggle to maintain momentum.

Ethereum Witnesses Poor Demand

The negative readings from ETH’s price daily active address (DAA) divergence reflect the poor demand for the altcoin among market participants. This metric, which measures an asset’s price movements with the changes in its number of daily active addresses, is at -70.34% at press time.

For context, DAA have remained negative despite its price rally since last weekend. Historically, when an asset’s price rises while active addresses decrease, it’s considered a sell signal. This suggests the rally is driven by speculation rather than real demand, implying that the price surge may be short-lived.

Ethereum Price Daily Active Address Divergence. Source: Santiment

Furthermore, Ethereum’s Parabolic Stop and Reverse (SAR) indicator, which helps identify trend direction and potential reversal points, reinforces the bearish outlook. Currently, the indicator’s dots are positioned above ETH’s price.

When the Parabolic SAR dots appear above an asset’s price, it signals downward pressure and suggests that the trend is likely bearish. Traders typically view this as an indicator to hold or consider initiating short positions, expecting further price declines.

Ethereum Parabolic SAR. Source: TradingView

ETH Price Prediction: August 5 Low on the Horizon

The Parabolic SAR dots above the price can act as a form of dynamic resistance. If the price tries to rise, it might face selling pressure near these dots, reinforcing the bearish trend.

These dots currently rest at $2620, suggesting that ETH will face a surge in selling pressure once it approaches this level. If selling pressure strengthens, Ethereum’s price risks falling 14% to its August 5 low of $2,116.

Ethereum Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if it witnesses a resurgence in demand, ETH may break above the resistance formed at the $2,700 price level and target $3,338.

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