Bitcoin price challenges $65K after Trump signals possible Iran talks

Bitcoin price has climbed toward the key $65,000 resistance zone after U.S. President Donald Trump said Iran had reached out to Washington to discuss a possible agreement, easing geopolitical concerns and lifting demand across risk assets.

According to data from crypto.news, Bitcoin ($BTC) price rallied to an intraday high of $64,400 on Friday, up 2.65% on the day, while the total cryptocurrency market capitalization rose 2.17% to $2.21 trillion. Ethereum recovered toward $1,800, XRP held above a major support level, and Dogecoin also advanced as traders rotated back into higher-risk assets following Trump’s comments.

At the same time, activity in the derivatives market accelerated. Bitcoin futures trading volume increased 3.83% to $51.59 billion, while open interest climbed 4% to $48.16 billion, suggesting fresh capital entered leveraged positions rather than short covering alone. Options activity expanded even faster, with volume jumping 27.23% to $2.81 billion as traders positioned for a potential move beyond the closely watched $65,000 barrier.

Bitcoin price tests neckline breakout as derivatives activity builds

The technical structure has also improved after Bitcoin completed an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern on the 4-hour chart. Price has returned to the neckline near $64,500-$65,000, a level that has repeatedly capped rallies during the past several weeks. A confirmed breakout would project an upside target near $71,800, based on the measured move from the pattern.

Bitcoin price has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern on the 4-hour chart — July 10 | Source: crypto.news

Momentum indicators continue to favor buyers without showing extreme conditions. The four-hour RSI sits near 60, leaving room for additional gains before entering overbought territory. Meanwhile, the MACD has crossed above its signal line, and the histogram remains in positive territory, supporting the current recovery attempt.

The daily chart also shows Bitcoin reclaiming its 20-day simple moving average near $61,870 after spending several sessions below it. Price now sits between the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, with the 50-day SMA around $65,430 serving as the next technical hurdle. Longer-term resistance remains concentrated near the 100-day and 200-day moving averages around $70,800 and $74,100, respectively.

Bitcoin daily price chart — July 10 | Source: crypto.news

Liquidation data from CoinGlass highlights another obstacle. The largest cluster of short liquidations sits between roughly $64,800 and $65,200, where leverage has accumulated over the past three days. A decisive move through that zone could trigger forced buying and accelerate Bitcoin toward the next liquidity pockets above $66,000.

Bitcoin liquidation heatmap | Source: CoinGlass

Market analysts have also focused on the same resistance region. According to analyst Ted Pillows, “Bitcoin is right at its resistance level. And the major concern is weak spot demand. If buyers step in here, Bitcoin could see a decent breakout and rally next.”

$BTC is right at its resistance level.

And the major concern is weak spot demand.

If buyers step in here, Bitcoin could see a decent breakout and rally next. pic.twitter.com/s4aluCPezR

— Ted (@TedPillows) July 10, 2026

A similar view came from analyst Michaël van de Poppe, who expects the recent recovery to continue if buyers defend current levels.

“There’s more strength coming in on $BTC. That’s a great move and I don’t expect to see the markets falling here. Continuation over the coming 1-2 weeks would mean that we’re seeing a run to $70k+ happening and that would strengthen the thesis that the bottom is relatively here.”

Failure at $65K would expose lower support levels again

Despite the improving setup, Bitcoin still faces several risks before confirming a sustained breakout. The $64,500-$65,500 area combines horizontal resistance, the 50-day moving average, and a heavy concentration of leveraged positions. Failure to clear that zone could encourage profit-taking after the recent rebound.

Support begins near $63,000, followed by the $62,000 region identified by several technical analysts. A break below those levels would invalidate the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern and shift attention back toward the late-June lows near $58,000.

Any renewed escalation in Middle East tensions, stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data that revives Federal Reserve tightening expectations, or a reversal in risk sentiment across equity markets could also pressure Bitcoin before bulls have a chance to challenge the next resistance zone.

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